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Once you attain the title of Head Football Coach, even if you suck at it, you are somehow always in the discussion for another coaching gig.
In the NFL, yes. At upper college levels, not for another HC job.
I went back and looked at HC hires among 80k+ stadium programs (as of 2017) starting in 1998, (this time 1998 is correct).
The following were outside hires by by an 80k+ after having been fired as a college HC:
-1998 Paul Hackett was hired by USC 6 years after being fired by by Pitt in 3 years. He had NFL OC experience, which was big at the time. USC fired him after 3 seasons.
-1999 Lou Holtz was hired at SC. Quietly fired at Arkansas back in the day b/c Broyles was jealous of him. Broyles was notorious for being a bad boss. Lou had a great run at ND.
-2008 Rick Neuheisal by UCLA. He was fired at Washington for participating in a NCAA pool. It was probably a pretext since the program was worse than when he started. IF UCLA had done their due diligance, they would have seen that he skipped out of Colorado right when the seat got hot after he depleted McCartney's program. He failed at UCLA.
-2016 Muschamp at SC. I guess they figured he was young enough that maybe he learned something. Who knows?
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Because you don't turn down the opportunity to be a head coach in exchange for a coordinator position, can't believe that is something that is being discussed to be honest.
That is very short-sighted if his end-goal was not UTSA but a major program. You usually get one shot at the bigtime. You need to be ready when you take it. Those who got a second shot either won a title (Holtz) or were considered to have great football minds (Hackett, Loserhuesal, Boom).
Coaches who cannot make it as a coordinator are extremely unlikely to have enough other skills to cover for it at the higher levels, and the stats bear it out. At the end of the day, if you dont know your stuff, it is hard to command respect from those who do.
A great recruiter probably could have gotten an opportunity as a coordinator from a program in a talent-poor region from a coach who was willing to take them under his wing.
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Just accept the fact that whomever takes over after Sumlin is gone - you are not going to be happy.
Happy, no. I would be happy with Chip Kelly. I would be happy with Gundy. I would be happy with somebody who has shown he can win the inferior talent. I would be happy taking a calculated risk with the pirate.
At this point though, I would be pleased with a lot of names:
Morris and Fedora both work. I think both are 50/50 to fail. I could accept those odds b/c I think Sumlin is well below 50% chance of getting it right.
If we hire somebody over 50, other than the names I mentioned I will scream since coaches usually jump the shark in their mid to late 50s. If we hire somebody young, I dont care so long as he has been a coordinator and either shown he can sustain winning as a HC at a lower level, or is highly respect like Kirby Smart was coming out of Bama.
And yes, if he does fail, I will scream that we did not hire Chip Kelly or another established winner.