trm94 said:
Okay, maybe a 10% chance to win. AU will name their score against our defense, and we will struggle to score against AL, FL, and LSU. Lucky to win 7 games next year with new QB, WR, etc... I actually think it will be more like 5-7 for the final record
Its actually very simple - our lack of pass rush means that any QB worth a crap is going to have a field day against this defense no matter how good the secondary is. The only pass rush will have to come with blitzing, or other positions. Sure isn't coming from the DE spot this year. Probably not at LB either since our recruiting for both has been so subpar.
So any team with a good QB is going to win. That is a LOT of teams on the schedule next year.
This is a point I've yet to see anyone challenge so I'll have a whack at it.
If you noticed last year, other than a few games, Myles was mostly either double or triple teamed, which gave Hall on the other side an easier 1 on 1 to get to the QB...however he rarely took advantage. As great as Myles was here at A&M, our pass rush even with him last year was only good, but not great. We were top 30 in sack %, but Chavis also ran a ton of blitz from the linebackers and safeties because quite often our DEs were not getting home like they were expected to (
https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/sack-pct). What's my point? I don't see as steep of a drop off occurring as many are expecting without Myles and Dae Dae.
I expect Chavis to be just as if not more aggressive in calling blitzes and being multiple in his scheme (3-4 fronts) due to our loss at the DE position. And more importantly, I expect Jarret and Qualen to be decently productive as the starting DEs (Jarret matched Dae Dae's sack number as a backup). Because of this reason I don't think QBs will just have a "field day" with us. Heck this year we might, just MIGHT have the capability to make teams more one dimensional by having a better unit equipped to stop the run, SO that we can focus more on defending the pass / pressuring the QB in 3rd and longs.