ESPN lists the FPI projections for each bowl game and their confidence.
Here are the SEC projections:
Likely to win:
Mississippi State over Miami (Ohio) 81.90%
Alabama over Washington 68.20%
Tennessee over Nebraska 67.20%
Texas A&M over Kansas State 62.80%
Florida over Iowa 53.10%
Likely to lose:
Louisville over LSU 51.10%
NC State over Vanderbilt 52.50%
Oklahoma over Auburn 53.40%
TCU over Georgia 56.00%
Georgia Tech over Kentucky 59.30%
Virginia Tech over Arkansas 66.40%
South Florida over South Carolina 71.40%
According to the article, the FPI has been more accurate than the Vegas line this season.
Here are the SEC projections:
Likely to win:
Mississippi State over Miami (Ohio) 81.90%
Alabama over Washington 68.20%
Tennessee over Nebraska 67.20%
Texas A&M over Kansas State 62.80%
Florida over Iowa 53.10%
Likely to lose:
Louisville over LSU 51.10%
NC State over Vanderbilt 52.50%
Oklahoma over Auburn 53.40%
TCU over Georgia 56.00%
Georgia Tech over Kentucky 59.30%
Virginia Tech over Arkansas 66.40%
South Florida over South Carolina 71.40%
According to the article, the FPI has been more accurate than the Vegas line this season.