Mike, shot you a PM. Email me when you get a chance.
quote:
Had my informal yesterday:
-Guy basically threw my jubally info in the trash. Said they don't have all the information and only use comps that serve them (irony alert!).
-I bought my house in June 2013 for $317K. According to HCAD, if I didn't do anything to my house, it would be worth $353K 6 mo later.
-Somehow they knew we made some improvements but were wrong on some of them. I assume they just looked in the windows? Either way, he tried to explain how if I spend $20K in improvements, the market value could be much higher. Apparently he meant much, much higher.
-In the end he offered $420K which was down from the original value of $425. I laughed and that was it.
I would suggest to everyone to skip the informal. Its a waste of time but get familiar with the information they are using against you which can be found on their website.
I typically try to stay out of these threads, but I am passionate about helping, and if this improves my means to help, then I guess I am going to chime in.
So in the past, we've always recommended people skip their isettle because it, well, just sucks. We've told people to go to their informal hearing just because it's an opportunity to reduce your value, and the odds indicate it's probably worth it to at least go. This year though, it is hard to recommend going. By the same token, it does give you a chance to practice, and hear their counter arguments, so you can be a bit more informed when going to your formal hearing.
As far as the assertion that we don't have all the data, that couldn't be more incorrect. We have all of the data from their system (values, factors, and attributes). The one thing we aren't doing this year that they are placing a strict requirement on is this so called "Time Adjustment". It only applies to sales comps, not the Uniform and Equal argument (equity). For each month from the sale date until the end of December, they are applying a 1-2% increase in the sales price PER MONTH. It varies by neighborhood, thus the 1-2% range I've given. And you're dang right we only use comps that help you reduce your value.
I started to include this Time Adjustment into the Sales Analysis a little while back when I received word from a few other sources that indicate HCAD is holding on to these time adjustments at the informal hearings, but not quite so much at the Formal hearing. While the ARB is biased, from what we can tell, they just don't agree with the time adjustment. So, I killed that idea to include it, since all it does is hurt your value (the adjustment can only go up this year in this hot market". I considered adding another Sales Analysis report into the evidence package and giving instructions to users to only present it at the ARB if the ARB is requiring it.
Here is how I believe we should all argue this time adjustment this year.
1.) If I were a real-estate appraiser and a bank hired me to appraise a home, and I were to locate recent sales, and apply a 1-2% increase in value each month, the bank would laugh at me, and I would never be hired again.
2.) If values are increasing 1-2% per month, they we are all in the wrong business. We should be purchasing homes, and selling them 12 months later for a 12-24% gain.
3.) Go to
http://www.har.com/neighborhoods/ and locate your neighborhood. There will be a bar graph on the right hand side that indicates the market trends over the past several years. If the rate of increase year to year does not look to be 12-24% (1-2% x 12 months), then take this with you and present it to combat their assertion of the time adjustments.
4.) Demand that they prove the stats to back up the time adjustment. How did they come up with it? Make them show you. If they can't show you, it is an arbitrary number. Put them on the defensive.
5.) Are they going to require a negative time adjustment in a down market and throw out your evidence if you don't have it reflected? Of course not. That would hurt their values.
All of that said, I have been trying to figure out if they were also going to apply a time adjustment to a subject property that was purchased in 2013. Consistently, year after year, they'll accept your purchase price for that very first year. I had a feeling they were going to pull this stunt with subject properties that had been purchased. Total crap.
Also, keep in mind that appraisers at the informal levels cannot adjust value based on Uniform and Equal. The comptroller grades appraisal districts based on how many changes to values are made at this level. The more changes informally, the worse the grade. There's no real incentive for them to reduce values here. Once it goes formal, the decision lies with the ARB and thus they aren't graded based on reductions there.
Additionally, if you purchased this year, and the Uniform and Equal value is lower than your purchase price, then you need to be arguing based on "Value Unequal to other similar properties". Take the market argument out of the equation and hold them to this standard. Hold them to the law. It won't always work, but the more informed you are, the better your chances.
http://www.statutes.legis.state.tx.us/Docs/TX/htm/TX.41.htmProtest of Determination of Value or Inequality of Appraisal (b) A protest on the ground of unequal appraisal of property shall be determined
in favor of the protesting party unless the appraisal district establishes that: (3) the appraised value of the property is equal to or less than the
median appraised value of a reasonable number of comparable properties appropriately adjusted.
If anyone here, regardless of if you are a Jubally client or not needs more info on the process, let me know. If you are a client of Jubally, and don't win informally, contact me and let us work with you to form a counter argument based on the HCAD argument they presented informally. They do lie and deceive, and as much info as we give in the evidence packages, we can't realistically cover it all, which is why I always want to hear your experiences at the informal level. And please, study our info. Again, I know it is a lot, but it is imperative that you be informed.
It's so inconsistent. Had 2 people last week who won their informal with a reduction of 90k and 45k. Then they offer you a 5k reduction? Sickening.
Email me with anything you need. support at jubally dot com
[This message has been edited by Cru (edited 5/21/2014 10:20a).]