Will B/CS ever hit 1 Million population?

4,283 Views | 39 Replies | Last: 9 mo ago by Red Pear Luke (BCS)
Andrew Dufresne
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Jw
AggieCVQ
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Yes, barring complete economic stagnation or climate related reasons.

Population is currently at what, 250-300kish? Older Ags are retiring and will move here increasingly. Plus population from other areas as well.

Now will it be in our lifetimes? Maybe toward the end.
Bones2012
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Eventually, yes. Texas' population is projected to surpass California as the country's most populous in the coming decades. This means the metro areas will continue to grow, if I had to guess I would say B/CS will be around the million mark in about 50 years of so
woodiewood1
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Our growth has been consistent at about 4,000 a year at least since 2002.

See https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BRNPOP

In BCS we had 229,000 in 2010 and now have about 277,000. That is a growth rate of 4,030 a year. If that continues it will be about 250 years to reach a million. Even if the rate doubles to 8,000 a year, it will be over 100 years to get over a million.
turfman80
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Good
Yeah, well, sometimes nothing is a real cool hand
Belton Ag
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Quote:

If that continues it will be about 250 years to reach a million.
How many Dutch Brothers and banks will we have by then?

Will Pappadaux finally be built?

El_duderino
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Don't forget fried chicken joint or a burger spot
TyHolden
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As remote working is becoming more common, many will leave the shackles of the large cities. They are growing by an enormous rate. Let the coasters have them.
Hornbeck
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If only we could get some more nail places and vape stores...
milner79
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Build medians ... and they will come.
doubledog
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Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
TAMU1990
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doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
FlyRod
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Seems like water availability could be an issue in all this.
Pantera
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No. AI will erase the human race far before this happens.
war hymn aggie
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Not in anyone's lifetime on this board.
Only about 250K right now.
Infrastructure would never allow is to get that much, that fast.
doubledog
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TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
3) Can school districts merge? Of all of those possibilities Snook is the best.
tamufan
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CS-B MSA has grown about 1.6% per year since 2010. At that annual rate and starting at 278K in 2022, it would take about 80 years to reach 1M in population.

For comparison, Austin city (not MSA) grew from 278K in 1971 to 1031K in 2003, a growth rate of 4.2% per year during that 32 year period. Austin had a number of population drivers providing that growth, including a growing state government, UT, music scene, etc. (More recently Austin's continued growth from tech and related business. And just btw, when Austin metro was 1,031K in 2003, the Austin MSA was 1,383K.)

We have TAMU. I think we'd need several more drivers of population growth to achieve a long run growth rate of anything close to 4% annually.
woodiewood1
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TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
UmustBKidding
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Maybe the cities but the school districts adjoin each other. Also now that the rules have changes Cities cannot annex with the wild abandon that got us to this point. And with impact fees coming less will be pro annex. Almost everything in the last decade college station annexed was against the desire of the residents and that should not happen now.
TAMU1990
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woodiewood1 said:

TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
Navasota ISD starts just past Millican Reserve on Hwy 6 and the eastern side of that community off of Wellborn is Navasota ISD.
doubledog
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woodiewood1 said:

TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
I thought Bryan made a land grab along hwy 30. or was that just BISD?
UmustBKidding
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Bryan annexed on east side of 30 to cole lane. They did not annex to the county line but some of that area is in the Bryan ETJ.
TyHolden
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TAMU1990 said:

woodiewood1 said:

TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
Navasota ISD starts just past Millican Reserve on Hwy 6 and the eastern side of that community off of Wellborn is Navasota ISD.
And that's probably where half of the private school kids come from....Navasota
13B
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Why would anyone want this? BCS is already too big. If you want that then move to Houston, DFW, San Antonio or Austin.
techno-ag
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woodiewood1 said:

TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
Yup. And you could say Northgate has grown up with all the high rises.
woodiewood1
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TAMU1990 said:

woodiewood1 said:

TAMU1990 said:

doubledog said:

Due to the Brazos county geography then one (or more) of these three things must happen.
1) we must start building "up" or at least more compact than we are now.
2) we must build more bridges across the Brazos and Navasota to allow for expansion.
3) we must expand College Station School district south, west and east.
1) nobody wants that.
2) ok
3) We are locked in. Navasota ISD has their boundries inside south Brazos county. Iola and Bryan are to the east. Snook is to the west; Mumford and Bryan to the NW. These communities will be the beneficiaries of growth as well. There is no where to expand.
CS could grow about 10 miles or more south and 20 miles down hwy 30 and east to Nav River.
Navasota ISD starts just past Millican Reserve on Hwy 6 and the eastern side of that community off of Wellborn is Navasota ISD.
I just assumed when the OP stated BCS growth they meant the cities and not the two school districts.

The school districts overlap the cities. West of CS the city is CS and the school is BISD. Down Wellborn we are going to have CS and Navasota school district.
texAZtea
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We'll never even clear 500k until we have a respectable conference center.
BiochemAg97
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texAZtea said:

We'll never even clear 500k until we have a respectable conference center.
TyHolden
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Austin's best years were around 2000 when they were around 900k-1000k. They didn't have one decent sports bar at the time though.
techno-ag
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TyHolden said:

Austin's best years were around 2000 when they were around 900k-1000k. They didn't have one decent sports bar at the time though.
That piano bar on 6th Street tho.
Belton Ag
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texAZtea said:

We'll never even clear 500k until we have a respectable conference center.
By God
turfman80
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Maximum growth will always be the mantra of B/CS governments due to the control of developers and realtors.
Yeah, well, sometimes nothing is a real cool hand
BiochemAg97
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turfman80 said:

Maximum growth will always be the mantra of B/CS governments due to the control of developers and realtors.


Interesting point, and probably valid.

Makes me wonder what is argument for less growth or no growth?

What would a city govt do to moderate growth, other than completely sucking and driving everyone away?

Austin tried the "don't build roads" and we won't grow strategy and that was a disaster. Not only did it not stop the growth, but then it put them decades behind on building roads.
MoreCushing4thePushing
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TyHolden said:

And that's probably where half of the private school kids come from....Navasota


Guilty
woodiewood1
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BiochemAg97 said:

turfman80 said:

Maximum growth will always be the mantra of B/CS governments due to the control of developers and realtors.


Interesting point, and probably valid.

Makes me wonder what is argument for less growth or no growth?

What would a city govt do to moderate growth, other than completely sucking and driving everyone away?

Austin tried the "don't build roads" and we won't grow strategy and that was a disaster. Not only did it not stop the growth, but then it put them decades behind on building roads.

You don't want no growth, but slow and managed growth.

You ask, "what is argument for less growth or no growth?"

You answered your own question when you mentioned Austin.

We are growing at about 4,000 persons, 1 to 2%, a year now. The city doesn't have to do a dang thing with our tax money to increase the growth rate.

I am not convinced that a high level of growth in our population will have major benefits for the existing homeowner taxpayers?

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