motherrunnersBCS said:
Err, yeah, unfortunately there are cases from childcare, in Texas.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/06/health/texas-coronavirus-cases-child-care-facilities/index.html
It is always a good idea to look at the numbers.
The article cites 1,335 cases in 883 facilities out of a total of 12,220 child care facilities, so that means there is an average of roughly 1 infection per every 10 facilities. Of course since we know there were infections in only 883 facilities, that means there were infections at only 7.2% of all child care facilities. That's less than even I would have guessed. Oh, and we know that the average number of infections at a facility that had at least one infection is less than 2, because 1,335 over 883 is less than 2.
How many people (kiddos plus staff) are at each facility? Let's use a very conservative number and go with an average of 25 per facility. 12,220 times 25 is 305,500 people. 1,335 cases over 305,500 people is 0.4%. Again, I think that is a very conservative estimate. I am sure there are more than 305,500 children and staff at child care facilities across this state right now.
The current percentage of the Texas population who have ever tested positive for COVID-19 is 1.3%.
This tells me that if I walk into a random day care, which is full of kiddos with no masks, not much in the way of good hygiene habits at that young of an age, and not much in the way of social distancing, I'm at least 3 times less likely to encounter someone with COVID-19 than I am if I just go to the grocery store or some other public place.
But, it makes for great clicks to talk about a "surge" of COVID-19 cases at child care facilities.