B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

829,849 Views | 5641 Replies | Last: 20 hrs ago by MiMi
trouble
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AG
10/17/21 2:05pm

78 available hospital beds

0 available ICU beds

86 available ventilators

11 Covid patients on ventilators

46 ICU patients

15 Covid ICU patients

4 Covid admits in previous 24 hrs
FlyRod
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Have we gone at least 48 hours with an available ICU bed recently?
Expert Analysis
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AG
Oct 8-11
trouble
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AG
10/18/21 11:40am

86 available hospital beds

3 available ICU beds

87 available ventilators

11 Covid patients on ventilators

45 ICU patients

14 Covid ICU patients

3 Covid admits in previous 24 hrs
TexAg1987
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10/18/21
trouble
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AG
Thank you, it's been a full on Monday over here
Nosmo
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AG
COVID-19 Total Fatalities by County per state spreadsheet 03-07-2020 to 10-17-2021 at 9:30 AM CST

By death certificate date of death.

SEP = 34
09/01/21 # 305 (added to state spreadsheet 9/8)
09/01/21 # 306 (added to state spreadsheet 9/9)
09/01/21 # 307 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/03/21 # 308 (added to state spreadsheet 9/15)
09/05/21 # 309 (added to state spreadsheet 9/14)
09/06/21 # 310 (added to state spreadsheet 9/10)
09/08/21 # 311 (added to state spreadsheet 9/15)
09/09/21 # 312 (added to state spreadsheet 9/14)
09/09/21 # 313 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/09/21 # 314 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/10/21 # 315 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/10/21 # 316 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/10/21 # 317 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/11/21 # 318 (added to state spreadsheet 9/18)
09/11/21 # 319 (added to state spreadsheet 9/30)
09/13/21 # 320 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/15/21 # 321 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/18/21 # 322 (added to state spreadsheet 10/4)
09/18/21 # 323 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
09/19/21 # 324 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/19/21 # 325 (added to state spreadsheet 10/1)
09/19/21 # 326 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
09/20/21 # 327 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/21/21 # 328 (added to state spreadsheet 9/26)
09/21/21 # 329 (added to state spreadsheet 10/2)
09/21/21 # 330 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
09/22/21 # 331 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/23/21 # 332 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/23/21 # 333 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/24/21 # 334 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/25/21 # 335 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
09/26/21 # 336 (added to state spreadsheet 10/8)
09/28/21 # 337 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
09/30/21 # 338 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)

Oct = 6
10/02/21 # 339 (added to state spreadsheet 10/6)
10/02/21 # 340 (added to state spreadsheet 10/10)
10/04/21 # 341 (added to state spreadsheet 10/10)
10/04/21 # 342 (added to state spreadsheet 10/13)
10/05/21 # 343 (added to state spreadsheet 10/15)
10/06/21 # 344 (added to state spreadsheet 10/15)

344 = State count
350 = County count

Bolded reported by state in last 7 days.

MiMi
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S
Today's numbers: 23 new confirmed cases (1,242 raw cases), 10 probable cases, 11 (-5) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 296 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 121,471 (+30) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/18/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 105,721 (+63). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 53.35% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 44 (+2); 8% of total hospital capacity as of 10/17/21.
trouble
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AG
442, huh?
Nosmo
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AG
https://www.tamu.edu/coronavirus/dashboard/

Weekly COVID-19 Testing Activity and Positivity at Texas A&M University

Wk end -------- test --------- positive --------------- 1 yr ago
07/03/21 -------- 311 -------- 5 ( 1.6% )
07/10/21 -------- 195 -------- 6 ( 3.1% )
07/17/21 -------- 323 ------- 16 ( 5.0% )
07/24/21 -------- 459 ------- 32 ( 7.0% )
07/31/21 -------- 719 ------- 60 ( 8.3% )
08/07/21 ------- 1,080 ------ 89 ( 8.2% ) ---------- 17 ( 3.1% )
08/14/21 ------- 1,432 ----- 144 ( 10.1% ) -------- 32 ( 6.5% )
08/21/21 ------- 2,346 ----- 139 ( 5.9% ) --------- 371 ( 17.0% )
08/28/21 ------ 28,967 ---- 774 ( 2.7% ) --------- 327 ( 9.9% )
09/04/21 ------ 22,245 --- 1,116 ( 5.0% ) -------- 285 ( 10.2% )
09/11/21 ------ 27,880 --- 1,498 ( 5.4% ) -------- 202 ( 7.5% )
09/18/21 ------- 5,088 ------ 356 ( 7.0% ) -------- 213 ( 10.1% )
09/25/21 ------- 4,221 ------ 196 ( 4.6% ) --------- 74 ( 3.8% )
10/02/21 ------- 3,080 ------- 96 ( 3.1% ) ---------- 92 ( 5.3% )
10/09/21 ------- 2,943 ------- 88 ( 3.0% ) ---------- 80 ( 3.7% )
10/16/21 ------- 3,536 ------- 53 ( 1.5% ) --------- 128 ( 4.8% )

MiMi
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S
Fixed my typo. I'm on mobile without my reading glasses and missed it. Thanks for pointing it out.
trouble
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AG
Gotta make sure kbtx has the right numbers to steal from this thread
MiMi
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Today's numbers: 22 new confirmed cases (1,242 raw cases), 8 probable cases, 11 (-0 ) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 514 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 121,548 (+132) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/19/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 105,853 (+63). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 53.42% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 40 (-4); 7% of total hospital capacity as of 10/18/21.

gigem92
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AG
Numbers are looking a lot better, so we get this from KBTX.

"Don't confuse progress with victory": Doctor warns of complacency as COVID numbers decline

https://www.kbtx.com/2021/10/20/dont-confuse-progress-with-victory-doctor-warns-complacency-covid-numbers-decline/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=snd&utm_content=kbtx
Geralt of Rivia
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S
I guess whoever is in charge of investigating the "raw cases" has been on vacation for the good part of a week
Rapier108
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gigem92 said:

Numbers are looking a lot better, so we get this from KBTX.

"Don't confuse progress with victory": Doctor warns of complacency as COVID numbers decline

https://www.kbtx.com/2021/10/20/dont-confuse-progress-with-victory-doctor-warns-complacency-covid-numbers-decline/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=snd&utm_content=kbtx
And this.

Bryan woman shares story of losing husband to COVID in hopes others will get vaccinated (kbtx.com)

The numbers have cratered, as was expected. One would think they would be happy, and especially the medical professionals would be, but it seems that they're not happy unless cases are sky high.

Let people smile a bit for right now. There may be another surge later, or that may have been it. No one has a clue either way, so running with the endless fear-porn just shows they have an agenda and it isn't honest reporting.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Expert Analysis
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AG
Quote:

He says because not enough people have gotten vaccinated to reach herd immunity locally, there remains a lot of fuel that could easily ignite to cause a fifth surge.
It's awesome when the Doctors ignore the fact that the vaccinated can still catch, carry, and transmit the virus. If you are vaccinated you still need to do everything else that the unvaccinated need to do if you are trying to minimize your chance of spreading the virus. You just lessen your chances of a severe case if you catch it. Countries and states with herd immunity levels of vaccinations are seeing spikes in cases. Israel and Australia have interesting data to look at considering their vaccination levels and other mandates they have implemented.

Get vaccinated though, it is likely in your best interest if you are an adult. I would not say the same for kids..... If you are old or have underlying medical conditions and got your vaccine 6+ months ago, consider a booster.
trouble
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AG
Sorry, totally forgot to update yesterday. Hopefully today's are up before I get busy this afternoon.

10/19/21 12:40pm

110 available hospital beds

5 available ICU beds

86 available ventilators

12 Covid patients on ventilators

46 ICU patients

12 Covid ICU patients

4 Covid admits in previous 24 hrs
Hornbeck
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Geralt of Rivia said:

I guess whoever is in charge of investigating the "raw cases" has been on vacation for the good part of a week


Maybe someone at KBTX can ask about that number not changing for a week?
trouble
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AG
10/20/21 3:30pm

88 available hospital beds

1 available ICU bed

80 available ventilators

13 Covid patients on ventilators

46 ICU patients

13 Covid ICU patients

5 Covid admits in previous 24 hrs
MiMi
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Today's numbers: 9 new confirmed cases (1,242 raw cases), 1 probable case, 11 (-0 ) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 741 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 121,616 (+68) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/20/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 105,965 (+112). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 53.48% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 38 (-2); 6% of total hospital capacity as of 10/19/21.

I think I have the reason for stall in raw case investigations. With the number of true positive cases and hospitalizations declining, they are waiting for the right time to dump them all at once and declare a 'surge' in Covid cases to keep everyone in panic mode. /sarcasm
scd88
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AG
OK, with all due respect to those who are currently battling this (especially in ICU).....but we done.

We may get another round down the road as that seems to be a thing but we just hit single digits. We are always going to have new cases for the rest of time.

This thread should be labeled an "endemic." Lol.
trouble
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AG
Delta spike is definitely on the down slope. It'll all depend on another variant as to whether or not we see another one like it.

Soooooooooo, should we plan, you know, the thing?
scd88
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AG
Just posted on its own thread.
FlyRod
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More good news! Keep it coming!
trouble
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AG
10/21/21 1:55pm

73 available hospital beds

2 available ICU beds

85 available ventilators

11 Covid patients on ventilators

47 ICU patients

14 Covid ICU patients

5 Covid admits in previous 24 hrs
gigem92
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AG
Just curious. Any reason for the number of available hospital beds jumping all over the place. I understand people in and out all the time, but going up 32 beds in 2 days and then back down 37 over the next two seems like huge swings.

Is it a staffing issue?


10/17: 78 available hospital beds

10/18: 86 available hospital beds

10/19: 110 available hospital beds

10/20: 88 available hospital beds

10/21: 73 available hospital beds
trouble
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AG
It's about hospital census and staffing. You want a certain amount of beds covered but you will go broke if there's a nurse available for every open bed.

Since we're dealing with all the hospitals in region N, there's going to be big swings depending on the staffing at each hospital.
TexAg1987
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I haven't graphed it out, but it may be the cycle of people being discharged after a weekend and then filling up during the week as surgeries, etc. are performed then emptying out again over the weekend/ Monday.



gigem92
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AG
Thanks, was kind of what I was thinking. Like I said, was just curious. Appreciate the input from you as well as TexAg.
TexAg1987
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trouble said:

It's about hospital census and staffing. You want a certain amount of beds covered but you will go broke if there's a nurse available for every open bed.

Since we're dealing with all the hospitals in region N, there's going to be big swings depending on the staffing at each hospital.
Which makes that metric useless. This would indicate that they could ramp up staffing if the need increased.

What you would want to see is how much capacity is available if it was needed. 100% occupancy and staffing levels. If we just look at available scheduled staff, I would think that it would be pretty consistent with hospital policy for how they can afford to run their hospital.
trouble
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AG
It also depends on what is going on. There is increased staff of things like game day.
MiMi
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Today's numbers: 51 new confirmed cases (1,170 raw cases [-72]), 12 probable cases, 12 (+1) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 910 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 121,748(+132) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/21/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 106,181 (+236). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 53.59% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 38 (-0); 6% of total hospital capacity as of 10/20/21.
Rapier108
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Looks like they're going to continue to dump the old cases as "new." On that note, I would guess that some of the raw cases end up being tossed out because they were either false positives, or people being retested so they could go back to work, but still getting a positive test because enough of the dead virus is still in their nose and the PCR test picks it up.

How nice. Guess the KBTX headline will be that cases are surging and hospitalizations are increasing.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
FlyRod
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Glad KBTX keeps the Covid dashboard on their site to keep up to date with the fluctuating case trends!
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