B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

979,127 Views | 6451 Replies | Last: 10 hrs ago by FlyRod
Hornbeck
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If you look, the raw case numbers drop by about ~300/day. I guess that means the health department is working through their backlog at that clip? Using that math, they will be done with the backlog in 7-8 days?
GiveEmHellBill
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AG
Expert Analysis said:

GiveEmHellBill said:

Vinewood_03 said:

Can someone Cliff Notes it for me. Why cases appearing to sky rocket yet current COVID hospitalizations are down and school district cases are wayyyy down. What gives?
Isn't it because A&M is testing tens of thousands of perfectly healthy 18-21 year olds who have no symptoms or need any medical attention? To me, this massive number of positive tests was to be expected when all the students came back and were forced to be tested.

As isitjustme said above and myself and others have said on recent pages, BCHD is currently reporting positive tests that are old and inactive as current cases. The media will not question them on it because they like the doom and gloom headlines that the terrible BCHD reporting creates.


Well, at least you are humble with your username.
trouble
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10/2/21 1:45pm

47 available hospital beds

0 available ICU beds

75 available ventilators

15 Covid patients on ventilators

56 ICU patients

23 Covid ICU patients

13 admits in previous 24 hours
MiMi
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S
No weekend updates from BCHD

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,081 (+150) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/2/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 103,242 (+277). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.11% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 94 (-6); 15.46% of total hospital capacity as of 10/1/21.
GiveEmHellBill
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So, we've gone from 30 available beds on Tuesday to 47 available today.

That sounds like something KBTX will be burying because it doesn't fit their narrative.
trouble
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10/3/21 1:50pm

53 hospital beds available

0 ICU beds available

77 ventilators available

13 Covid patients on ventilators

56 ICU patients

15 Covid ICU patients

14 admits in previous 24 hrs
scd88
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Pretty significant drop in Covid ICU patients. Hope the drop is not for...uh....you know...people not making it.
TommyBrady
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The covid patients on ventilators only went down 2 so hopefully that means a majority were recoveries
trouble
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Or someone didn't report correctly like we saw a while back
MiMi
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Today's numbers (includes the weekend): 138 new confirmed cases (1,983 raw cases), 131 probable cases, 30 (-9) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 2,793 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,248 (+167) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/3/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 103,550 (+304). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.26% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 84 (-10); 14.33% of total hospital capacity as of 10/2/21.
Sarvab
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MiMi said:

Today's numbers (includes the weekend): 138 new confirmed cases (1,983 raw cases), 131 probable cases, 33 (-6) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 2,793 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,248 (+167) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/3/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 103,550 (+304). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.26% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 84 (-10); 14.33% of total hospital capacity as of 10/2/21.

Seems like BCHD has just updated their data to show that now its only 30 residents hospitalized.

http://www.brazoshealth.org/node/94

May be that it bodes well for future active case counts as patients recover and don't need to be hospitalized
trouble
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10/4/21 12:00pm

56 available hospital beds

1 available ICU bed

68 available ventilators

16 Covid patients on ventilators

54 ICU patients

20 Covid ICU patients

6 admits over previous 24 hrs

MiMi
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S
Today's numbers: 172 new confirmed cases (1,751 raw cases), 86 probable cases, 30 (-3) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 689 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,288 (+40) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/4/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 103,636 (+86). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.3% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 89 (+5); 15.4% of total hospital capacity as of 10/3/21.
Nosmo
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COVID-19 Total Fatalities by County per state spreadsheet 03-07-2020 to 10-03-2021 at 9:30 AM CST

By death certificate date of death.

SEP = 26
09/01/21 # 305 (added to state spreadsheet 9/8)
09/01/21 # 306 (added to state spreadsheet 9/9)
09/01/21 # 307 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/03/21 # 308 (added to state spreadsheet 9/15)
09/05/21 # 309 (added to state spreadsheet 9/14)
09/06/21 # 310 (added to state spreadsheet 9/10)
09/08/21 # 311 (added to state spreadsheet 9/15)
09/09/21 # 312 (added to state spreadsheet 9/14)
09/09/21 # 313 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/09/21 # 314 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/10/21 # 315 (added to state spreadsheet 9/17)
09/10/21 # 316 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/10/21 # 317 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/11/21 # 318 (added to state spreadsheet 9/18)
09/11/21 # 319 (added to state spreadsheet 9/30)
09/13/21 # 320 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/15/21 # 321 (added to state spreadsheet 9/23)
09/19/21 # 322 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/19/21 # 323 (added to state spreadsheet 10/1)
09/20/21 # 324 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/21/21 # 325 (added to state spreadsheet 9/26)
09/21/21 # 326 (added to state spreadsheet 10/2)
09/22/21 # 327 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/23/21 # 328 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/23/21 # 329 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)
09/24/21 # 330 (added to state spreadsheet 9/29)

330 = State count
334 = County count

Bolded reported by state in last 7 days.

MiMi
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S
Today's numbers: 318 new confirmed cases (1,466 raw cases), 11 probable cases, 30 (-0) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 428 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,422 (+134) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/5/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 103,895 (+259). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.43% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 86 (-3); 15.4% of total hospital capacity as of 10/4/21.
trouble
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10/5/21 11:55am

52 available hospital beds

1 available ICU bed

71 available ventilators

17 Covid patients on ventilators

51 ICU patients

19 Covid ICU patients

7 admits in previous 24 hrs

trouble
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AG
10/6/21 3:35pm

51 available hospital beds

1 available ICU bed

71 available ventilators

18 Covid patients on ventilators

55 ICU patients

19 Covid ICU patients

7 admits in previous 24 hours

MiMi
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S
Today's numbers: 37 new confirmed cases (1,307 raw cases), 49 probable cases, 30 (-0) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 1,212 tests, 0 deaths.

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,493 (+71) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/6/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 104,013 (+118). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.49% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 84 (-2); 14.48% of total hospital capacity as of 10/5/21.

scd88
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I'll go ahead and say it… The new cases seem a tad bit low compared to what we have been used to.
lockett93
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scd88 said:

I'll go ahead and say it… The new cases seem a tad bit low compared to what we have been used to.
And compared to the RAW cases remaining...
TommyBrady
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The daily case rate is like the point structure for the TV Show "Whose Line is it Anyway" - Everything is made up and the points don't matter.

Hospital rates and Deaths are the only thing that are remotely close to being an accurate picture of how it is around here.
Sarvab
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TommyBrady said:


Hospital rates and Deaths are the only thing that are remotely close to being an accurate picture of how it is around here.

Yup, and both of those have been steadily declining for a few weeks, now
trouble
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AG
Soooooooooo, happy hour?
scd88
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trouble said:

Soooooooooo, happy hour?


Your most brilliant effort to date and that's saying something. Well done.
LSCSN
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still cant believe we dont have a mechanism to view the date of these test results. These results could be from anytime.
MiMi
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S
Today's numbers: 71 new confirmed cases (1,299 raw cases), 6 probable cases, 23 (-7) Brazos County residents hospitalized, 215 tests, 11 deaths - 1 hospitalized white male in his 80's, 1 hospitalized white male in his 70's, 1 hospitalized white female in her 40's, 2 hospitalized white females in their 70's, 1 Hispanic female in her 50's, 1 hospitalized white male in his 50's, 1 Hispanic male in his 40's, 1 hospitalized white female in her 90's, 1 hospitalized white male in his 90's, 1 hospitalized white female in her 80's

Current Brazos County vaccination numbers: 120,660 (+167) people vaccinated with at least one dose as of 10/7/21. The number of fully vaccinated people is now 104,277 (+264). According to the state's vaccination dashboard, 52.63% of Brazos County residents (12 yrs and older) are now fully vaccinated.

Total COVID hospitalizations in Region N: 80 (-4); 13.65% of total hospital capacity as of 10/6/21.
trouble
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I've been expecting a death dump after the way ICU numbers changed. I gotta find my laptop so I can do yesterday's hospital numbers.
dubi
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trouble said:

I've been expecting a death dump after the way ICU numbers changed. I gotta find my laptop so I can do yesterday's hospital numbers.


Covid ICU patients typically die vs being discharged so I also expected a high count.
FlyRod
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Is 11 our highest single day deaths reported thus far?
trouble
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FlyRod said:

Is 11 our highest single day deaths reported thus far?


I think so but I don't know that they are actually all from the same day.
trouble
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10/7/21 1:55pm

48 available hospital beds

0 available ICU beds

76 available ventilators

16 Covid patients on ventilators

51 ICU patients

17 Covid ICU patients

6 admits in previous 24 hours
Sarvab
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trouble said:

I've been expecting a death dump after the way ICU numbers changed. I gotta find my laptop so I can do yesterday's hospital numbers.
BCHD is also saying that these deaths occurred in September and they are just now reporting them

http://www.brazoshealth.org/node/94 (kinda buried down in the footnotes)
trouble
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Sarvab said:

trouble said:

I've been expecting a death dump after the way ICU numbers changed. I gotta find my laptop so I can do yesterday's hospital numbers.
BCHD is also saying that these deaths occurred in September and they are just now reporting them

http://www.brazoshealth.org/node/94 (kinda buried down in the footnotes)


So we've still got another big dump coming
isitjustme
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OWeek of 7/5: 73 cases, 1,579 tests, 4.6%PCR
Week of 7/12: 113 cases, 2,009 tests, 5.6%
Week of 7/19: 204 cases, 3,745 tests, 5.45%
Week of 7/26: 275 cases, 4,673 tests, 5.9%
Week of 8/2: 291 cases, 4,261 tests, 6.8%
Week of 8/9: 482 cases, 4,706 tests, 10.2%
Week of 8/16: 383 cases, 5,508 tests, 7.0%
Week of 8/23: 617 cases, 7,964 tests, 7.75%
Week of 8/30: 652 cases, 17,609 tests, 3.7%
Week of 9/7: 891 cases, 19,182 tests, 4.6%
Week of 9/14: 966 cases, 16,479 tests, 5.9%
Week of 9/21: 1,374 cases, 10,272 tests, 13.4%
Week of 9/28: 1,589 cases, 8,311 tests, 19.1%
Week of 10/4: 736 cases, 5,337 tests, 13.8%

11 deaths, all from last month, all reported today. Now 8 breakthrough deaths being reported, all 75+ years old. Condolences to all family and friends touched by this.

Case numbers lowest reported in a month. And I'll say again, most likely several weeks old. But the seem to be working through the backlog of raw cases.
Nosmo
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trouble said:

Sarvab said:

trouble said:

I've been expecting a death dump after the way ICU numbers changed. I gotta find my laptop so I can do yesterday's hospital numbers.
BCHD is also saying that these deaths occurred in September and they are just now reporting them

http://www.brazoshealth.org/node/94 (kinda buried down in the footnotes)


So we've still got another big dump coming
Throughout August and September the county is averaging over one death per day. The state reporting 338 and is running about 10 days behind actual death date (and only one of those is October). Until the "date of death" per day numbers decline I'm guessing that 7 or 8 a week to continue. So if county data doesn't have any October deaths, then they are probably currently behind a half dozen plus.

Although the county deaths are a small sample size, sadly it appears somewhat predictable.
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