trouble said:
I found the kbtx article. Here's the numbers.
So far for July, 87% of positives have been in unvaccinated individuals.
Only 3 vaccinated people have been hospitalized.
We have 16 known cases of Delta. Suspected to be higher since most positives aren't getting additional testing. (This wasn't said but I suspect the Delta cases have been in the hospitalized)
Sullivan says that 52% of eligible are vaccinated but that's not the numbers we've been seeing.
Since vaccination started, we've seen 109 documented breakthrough cases.
I typically don't post vaccine numbers on this thread since there was another thread for that, but according to my numbers the 52% is pretty close (
see correction below in PPSS) to what I came up with based on raw data.
Vaccinations by age groups with "at least one shot" status for the Texas and Brazos County as percent. Last two columns are the count of Brazos County residents with "at least one shot" "BC >=1" along with change over last 7 days, and finally county residents that have not had any vaccination "BC = 0". age -------- Tx -------- BC ---------- BC >= 1 ----------- BC = 0 wks to 0
12-15 ----- 35% ----- 23% -------- 2,566 (+190) ------- 8,739 2.2% 46
16-49 ----- 54% ----- 45% ------- 61,633 (+912) ----- 74,109 1.2% 81
50-64 ----- 73% ----- 72% ------- 20,441 (+212) ------- 8,047 2.6% 38
65-79 ----- 87% ----- 89% ------- 14,928 (+63) --------- 1,772 3.6% 28
80++ ------ 78% ----- 94% -------- 4,626 (+14) ------------ 279 5.0% 20
50++ ------ 78% ----- 80% ------- 39,995 (+289) ----- 10,098 35
12++ ------ 62% ----- 53% ------ 104,194 (+1391) ---- 92,946 67All --------- 51% ----- 45% ------ 104,194 (+1391) --- 126,595 91
And I agree with the poster that said the numbers for the 16 to 49 vaccine count is suspect. If a student is vaccinated and doesn't identify as a Brazos County resident, they won't get counted. They used our driver's license when we got vaccines. That doesn't change for most people when they go to college.
As a side conversation, this county obviously has population count issues that are unique. When I was creating a spreadsheet using state population estimates for 2019, I believe there is a large undercount of actual students (i.e. "where you sleep"). Anyway, it would be good to have 18-24 year old count of vaccines, but the state doesn't do that on a daily / weekly basis.
But as others have said, I do expect counts to go up when, "the boys get back in town".
PS: And the 70% vaccinated, is a pipe dream for the foreseeable future, unless the the student numbers are really, really way off. Younger people in general, along with those that don't trust the vaccine at this time, will make that number unattainable.
PPSS: After seeing the
52% fully vaccinated comment in the KBTX article, I agree it is not what I am seeing.
Fully vaccinated is more like 46% even by my numbers. My theory has been that if you get a person to get one shot, that most all of those will get the second dose (if required). I realize that there are some that don't (I have a cousin that didn't get the second shot), but I was using a forward looking number (at least one shot) trying to predict the future.
I have been wanting to make comments on the accuracy / validity of the data and I just used this post to express my concerns. But again, your comment on the 52% fully vaccinated is not what I am seeing either. My mistake for initially not reading your post correctly.
3rd edit!!!!Ok, I watched the video.
Sullivan said "vaccinated" he did not say "fully vaccinated". KBTX said:
Quote:
So far, 52 percent of everyone eligible for the vaccine in Brazos County is fully vaccinated, according to Sullivan, but he emphasized the need for more of the community to get vaccinated.
So the devil is in the details. Does vaccinated vs fully vaccinated make a big difference in the big picture? Probably not, but it is confusing.