Pretty big range including some population centers in the US

This is racist

the US has declined to shoot this down, per the BBC.

hedge said:

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This is racist

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lacist?

Chinese rocket debris?


That's racist.

Drawing a big bullseye around Hilldawgs compound.

Based on my viewing of myth busters, terminal velocity will make most of the debris fairly harmless.

Hopefully re-entry takes care of most of the engines.

I'm calling Italy. Because, they haven't been screwed enough by China

Commiefornia is in its path, let it land in LA or SF. Might actually clean the place a little.

FatZilla said:

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Commiefornia is in its path,

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so is texas.

FatZilla said:

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Commiefornia is in its path, let it land in LA or SF. Might actually clean the place a little.

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Hopefully Nancy's McMansion and Ice Cream Storage Locker.

Link for those of us having no idea what this thread was about:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-rocket-debris-expected-to-tumble-into-earths-atmosphere-this-weekend-11620401791?mod=hp_lead_pos10

Nope T

Survived Skylab, Halley's Comet, and that space junk from 1999.

Dos Tasadores De TAMU said:

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I wonder what the probability of being struck by part of the debris is in comparison to the probability of death or debilitating due to COVID for those under 40.

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Just doing some quick math based on the speed of terminal velocity, atmospheric pressure and the current jet steam flow, factoring in that approx 71% of the earth is ocean, i would say about.1 in 196.0 million to 1. .000000005 % chance it will hit within 1/2 mile of your location.




























thanks to Space-Track.org for the info

TxTarpon said:

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Nope T

Survived Skylab, Halley's Comet, and that space junk from 1999.

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Thanks TxTarpon - some of us are old enough to have lived through all of those calamities.

Just to chronicle for some of you who were not around then, here is former Chicago shock-jock Steve Dahl and his musical interpretation of the Skylab events in 1979 (with help from the Rolling Stones):

Quote:

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Thanks TxTarpon - some of us are old enough to have lived through all of those calamities.

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Gray hair, don't care.

Quote:

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Just to chronicle for some of you who were not around then, here is former Chicago shock-jock Steve Dahl
and his musical interpretation of the Skylab events in 1979 (with help from the Rolling Stones):

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Great video post!
Skylab, the AMC pacer of the spaceworld.

Drshovelhead said:

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Dos Tasadores De TAMU said:

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I wonder what the probability of being struck by part of the debris is in comparison to the probability of death or debilitating due to COVID for those under 40.

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Just doing some quick math based on the speed of terminal velocity, atmospheric pressure and the current jet steam flow, factoring in that approx 71% of the earth is ocean, i would say about.1 in 196.0 million to 1. .000000005 % chance it will hit within 1/2 mile of your location.

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You underestimate my level of bad luck.

My workplace would survive a bomb (well, maybe not the top floor) so if it happens during business hours I am good.

oldcrow91 said:

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Based on my viewing of myth busters, terminal velocity will make most of the debris fairly harmless.

Hopefully re-entry takes care of most of the engines.

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Unfortunately this isn't "bullets fired into the sky".

Giant pieces of metal will absolutely wreck sh-- if they hit a building or highway or something.

Zero chance you live if you happen to be under it. (edit: if you, a person, were like, standing there. Not sure about like a house, probably would be like a tornado hitting)

As it stands the odds are so low that no individual should spend any time worrying about it. No way you'd be able to meaningfully avoid it even if you followed some kind of space tracker that had a radar lock on it.

Now for a government, it's a big deal. Space junk, intentional or otherwise, falling on other countries needs to be addressed. Same for when our stuff falls somewhere.

agdoc2001 said:

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Dos Tasadores De TAMU said:

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I wonder what the probability of being struck by part of the debris is in comparison to the probability of death or debilitating due to COVID for those under 40.

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Certainly the probability increase exponentially with obesity in both cases.

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Thank God some people on TA still have a sense of humor.

Edit: I meant to say debilitation. Not debilitating

That's EOT quality wit there.