ramblin_ag02 said:
No hard data, just the fact that the rental market seems to be just as bad as the home buying market. If massive numbers of single family homes were being bought and rented, then you'd expect a shortage in the buying market and a glut in the rental market. We aren't seeing that
Every indicator I've seen shows that SFH homes, even if rented, immediately fly off the market. If its in the highly desirable areas that people are trying to move to, its going to move quickly.
Blackrock isn't buying these homes to let them sit. They plan to rent them out. The move into homes by private equity is fueled by three things:
-Offsetting their impending losses in commercial real estate as that sector sorts itself out in the upcoming years.
-Hedge against inflation by gaining physical assets
-Provide cash flow for pension funds.
Where the homes are going to sit is if Blackrock bought subprime homes (doubtful), can't find renters at prices that make their over the top offer work (a real risk), or this inflation is truly transitory and we see a major pullback in housing (doubtful).
If anything, you're going to see the Blackrocks of this world unwind their low ROI assets into a market 3-5 years from now thats probably even more inflated.