Scouting Arkansas

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Detective Jake Peralta
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AG
Arkansas Razorbacks (22-16, 7-8) vs. #1 Fightin' Texas Aggies (34-3, 11-3)

Friday April 17, 2015 at 6:30 PM
Saturday April 18, 2015 at 7:30 PM
Sunday April 19, 2015 at 3:00 PM
Olsen Field at Blue Bell Park, College Station, Texas

TV Info:
Friday: Streaming on SEC Network+ via WatchESPN
Saturday: ESPNU
Sunday: SEC Network (the TV channel)

A&M leads the all time series 40-36-1
Last Meeting: 2-1 series win by Arkansas last season in Fayetteville (3-2, 7-3, 5-6), the Razorbacks also defeated the Aggies 4-0 in the first round of the SEC Tournament

Head Coach: Dave Van Horn (13th season, 504-286 at Arkansas)
2014 Record: 40-25 (16-14), 4th in the SEC West

Arkansas Info:
Stats
Schedule
Roster

2015 Results (22-16 overall) (Numbers from Warren Nolan)
  • Series wins: #224 North Dakota (3-0), #284 Eastern Illinois (3-0), #101 Loyola-Marymount (2-1), #34 Ole Miss (2-1), @ #18 Auburn (2-1), #42 Kentucky (2-1)
  • Series Losses: @ #20 Vanderbilt (0-3), #14 LSU (1-2)
  • Midweek/Tournament Wins: #119 South Alabama, #136 SE Missouri State, @ #68 Memphis, #286 Mississippi Valley State (x2), #197 Stephen F. Austin (x2)
  • Midweek/Tournament Losses: #43 UCF, #24 Maryland, #85 Gonzaga (x2), #136 SE Missouri State, vs #68 Memphis, #5 Missouri State

Warren Nolan RPI Rank entering weekend: 86
  • vs Top 100: 8-14
  • vs Top 50: 7-11

Pitching Matchups:
Friday: Grayson Long (Jr. RHP, 7-0, 2.12) vs Trey Killian (Jr. RHP, 1-2, 3.74)
Saturday: Ryan Hendrix (So. RHP, 3-0, 0.42) vs Dominic Taccolini (So. RHP, 5-3, 4.41)
Sunday: Matt Kent (Jr. LHP, 6-0, 3.12) vs Keaton McKinney (Fr. RHP, 2-1, 4.00)

Stat Comparison:
  • Team Batting Avg: ARK: .294 (T-41st) A&M: .317 (5th)
  • Team ERA: ARK: 4.34 (T-140th) A&M: 2.07 (1st)
  • Home Runs: ARK: 35 (16th) A&M: 42 (T-4th)
  • Stolen Bases: ARK: 31 (T-166th) A&M: 22 (T-236th)
  • Fielding Pct.: ARK: .977 (T-21st) A&M: .971 (T-68th)
Players to Watch:
  • So. OF Andrew Benintendi (.356/14/41)
  • I think the stats speak for themselves. Andrew is as close to a five tool player as you'll find. High average, high slugging percentage, solid defense and arm, and when he doesn't hit it out of the park, he can kill you on the basepaths (15-18 in steals this year. Probably the most dangerous individual hitter the Aggie pitching staff has faced this year. Hit 4-16 with 2 walks and 4 RBI in four starts vs A&M last season.
  • RS Jr. OF Tyler Spoon (.343/4/32
  • Another RBI machine for the Hogs in the middle of their order. The Razorback offense has been a huge surprise this year, and a huge part of that is Spoon and Benintendi driving in runs time and time again in key situations. Both are also able to get on base in other ways, not just hurt you with base hits. These two have been, and will continue to be a reason for any postseason run Arkansas has. Hit 2-13 with 4 walks in four starts vs A&M last season.
  • Jr. 3B Bobby Wernes (.343/3/18)
  • Hasn't had as many RBI opportunities with Benintendi and Spoon clearing the table right in front of him, but has produced nicely when those opportunities have presented themselves. Another fast baserunner with 5 triples on the season to go along with 5 doubles and 3 homeruns. Hit 4-14 with 3 RBI and 2 walks in four starts vs A&M last year.
  • So. RHP Zach Jackson (3-0, 2.14)
  • Jackson is a jack of all trades and in my opinion the best arm on the Razorback's staff. He as done whatever Coach Van Horn has asked him to do this season, from long relief, to closing, to even starting 3 games on the mound. First on the team in strikeouts and batting average against, but also walks almost one man per inning. Pitched 0.2 innings in Game 2 vs A&M last season, giving up 1 unearned run on 2 hits and a walk. Pitched 3 shutout 3 hit innings in the SEC Tournament matchup, earning the save.
  • Jr. RHP Trey Killian (1-2, 3.74)
  • Killian won't overwhelm you with his stuff, (23 strikeouts in 33 innings of work and is poised to make a huge impression on the Olsen Field crowd. Not a huge power pitcher either, and would probably not be a Friday night starter on some of the top SEC teams (A&M, Vandy, and LSU), but makes you earn what you get. Gave up 1 run on 4 hits in Game 1 vs A&M and pitched 6 shutout innings in the SEC Tournament victory (going 2-0 overall).

Others to watch:
  • So. RHP/INF Josh Alberius
  • So. 1B/OF Clark Eagan
  • Jr. 2B Rick Nomura
  • Fr. RHP Keaton McKinney

Overall Breakdown:

This Arkansas team is different than many that Van Horn has put on the field before, in that they usually rely on strong pitching to win games, but this year the offense is their main strength. Spoon and Benintendi have eye-popping, all conference caliber numbers so far this season, and their supporting cast has been far better than expected. After struggling mightily out of the gate in conference play, the Hogs are beginning to hit their stride after three solid series wins in a row over Ole Miss, Auburn and Kentucky (all 2 games to 1) and look to be in solid position to contend for a three seed in a regional. Those postseason hopes could get a huge boost from any wins they pick up in College Station this weekend, and with the two coaches being so close to one another, it should be a fun weekend with lots of offensive fireworks. The obvious advantage for the Aggies is on the mound. While the Ags have been nothing short of stellar despite losing two weekend starters, the Hogs don't will not throw a single starter at the Aggie lineup this weekend that should pose much of a threat. The Aggie offense has been struggling a bit this month, but this weekend could be a great time to experiment with some new lineups before the big showdown in Baton Rouge next weekend.

Prediction:

It's a big weekend in Aggieland with Parent's Weekend and Ring Day on Friday, so the crowds should be huge, and possibly record-breaking should the weather hold up (which will look great on those two nationally televised games). Speaking of the weather, the threat for severe storms will persist through Saturday afternoon, but it seems like (knock on wood) we'll have enough of a window to get all three games in. If we do, I predict the Ags hold serve and win the series 2-1. Thanks and Gig 'Em, and see you at Olsen!
Ft Worth Ag
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Gracias!
AFDave13
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Thanks! I'll be extremely shocked if there's a game tonight
JeffHamilton82
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Winners of 7 of their last 8. Pitching getting better as they gave up 2.3 runs per game in their 7 wins and scored 9.0 runs per game in those victories.
TempleAg97
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Great write up as always and much appreciated. I think Arkansas is playing as well as anyone right now. Should be a tremendous challenge. Unfortunately, looks like the weather might be a tremendous challenge to.
CypressAg09
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Seems like we should have the edge on the mound. Just need the bats to wake up after that mediocre midweek outing. Let's go Ags! Gig those pigs!
Aggieangler93
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Sounds like a dogfight to me. I can't wait to roast some pigs!

BTHOArky!
Class of '93 - proud Dad of a '22 grad and a '26 student!
W
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this will be a tough series. When you look at Arkansas' stats...it makes you wonder how they've lost 16 games. But the Hogs scored 36 runs in their season opening 3-game sweep of North Dakota (10-16). And the following weekend UA swept terrible Eastern Illinois (3-26). Those 6 games have skewed their offensive numbers somewhat.

the Razorbacks' Friday night starter (Killian) played with Team USA this summer. Some nights he can be very, very good.

looking back at the series history...the Hogs have traditionally played very well at Olsen. But A&M has won the last 3 series in College Station: 1989, 1991, and 2004.

coming into the season, the Hogs were 1 of 5 scheduled conference opponents from which the Ags had not yet won a series in SEC play. The first 3 have been vanquished: Auburn, Alabama, Kentucky...
Yell Practice
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BTHO the Pigs Lets go 35-3
hogfan14
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Yeah earlier in the season we played a lot of freshmen out of the bullpen and they were awful. Lost a lot of games with that and Killian being out until SEC play. We've trimmed our weekend rotation down to basically only pitching 4 or 5 guys if we can help it. Get us any further than that and we're in trouble. One reason why we've struggled in midweek games.

Our hitting has been a lot better than the last few years though, Benintendi is playing himself into a 1st round pick.
aggiewilliford
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Great rivalry and great baseball. Husband is a hog and I'm an Ag, love him as I do, it's still BTHO arkansas whooooop. Gig Em!
Gig Em Ags, God Bless Old Army and Marching in Behind the Band! Whooooopppp
W
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well, the Ags have officially found their "monkey on the back" program in the SEC.

now 0-3 in series vs. the Hogs; and a 3-7 record in the 10 games played.

Benintendi dominated the 2nd and 3rd games of the series. He was never retired in 9 plate appearances
W
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and you know a series rematch at Blue Bell later this year is not far fetched.

the Hogs by season's end will be a prime candidate (based on geography) to be the #2 seed in a Fort Worth regional or Stillwater regional or Dallas Baptist regional. And based on geography a College Station regional could easily be paired with 1 of those 3
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