******* 2015 Baseball RPI Tracker and Opponent's RPI Tracker *******

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TXAggie2011
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UPDATED April 27, 2015

NCAA Official
Texas A&M's RPI is 4th.

37-7 Overall

28-4 Home
6-3 Road
3-0 Neutral


Boyd's World
Texas A&M's RPI is 5th

Warren Nolan
Texas A&M's RPI is 4th
(Strength of Schedule: 45)


Using the Official NCAA RPI:

6-2 against Top 25
7-3 against 25-50
5-2 against 51-100
13-0 against 101-200
6-0 against 201+

Scheduled Games

157 Texas State (1 game at home)
83 Tennessee (3 games away)
68 South Carolina (3 games at home)
147 Sam Houston State (1 game away)
34 Ole Miss (3 games away)


Played Games

2 Dallas Baptist (1 win at home)
5 LSU (1 win, 2 losses on road)
19 Auburn (3 wins at home)
20 Nebraska (1 win, neutral)
26 Houston (1 win, neutral)
30 Kentucky (2 wins on road)
41 Rice (1 win at home)
46 Alabama (2 wins on road, 1 loss on road)
48 Arkansas (1 win, 2 losses at home)
51 Missouri (2 wins, 1 loss at home)
65 UTSA (1 win on road)
100 Mississippi State (2 wins at home, 1 loss at home)
117 UT-Arlington (1 win at home)
131 Dartmouth (3 wins at home)
132 Baylor (1 win, neutral)
147 Sam Houston State (1 win at home)
153 Houston Baptist (1 win at home)
155 Penn State (3 wins at home)
183 Holy Cross (3 wins at home)
230 Abilene Christian 1 win at home
232 Stephen F. Austin (1 win at home)
238 Incarnate Word (1 win at home)
278 UT-Pan American (2 wins at home)
301 Prairie View A&M (1 win at home)
TXAggie2011
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UPDATED April 27, 2015

SEC

4 Texas A&M
5 LSU
8 Florida
14 Vanderbilt
19 Auburn
30 Kentucky
34 Ole Miss
46 Alabama
48 Arkansas
51 Missouri
68 South Carolina
83 Tennessee
100 Mississippi State
104 Georgia
TXAggie2011
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UPDATED April 27, 2015

Regional Teams (~Top 60 and/or nearby Big 12/SEC)

2 Dallas Baptist
4 Texas A&M
5 LSU
7 TCU
13 Oklahoma State
26 Houston
32 Louisiana-Lafayette
40 Southeastern Louisiana
41 Rice
45 Tulane
48 Arkansas
50 Oral Roberts
65 UTSA
67 Texas Tech
76 Oklahoma
82 UT-Austin
132 Baylor
CorpsAg11
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Seems low for a team that's about to be in the top 10 in the rankings
Agsncws
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quote:
Seems low for a team that's about to be in the top 10 in the rankings
Opponent win %
TXAggie2011
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quote:
quote:
Seems low for a team that's about to be in the top 10 in the rankings
Opponent win %

Opponent win % of roughly half of the RPI formula. For that purpose, our opponent's win % is 40.3%.

(That's by weighing their records by games played against us and taking out their 16 losses to us).


I am proud of how we have handled our schedule so far, but just be cognizant that we have played a very weak schedule so far relative to what we are about to start seeing.
Luke The Drifter
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Bear in mind in years past we've scheduled cupcakes but managed to drop games to teams like Illinois-Chicago, Sacramento State, Louisiana Tech, Holy Cross, UT-Pan Am and Gonzaga.

I'm not ready to anoint us as world beaters, but at least we're taking care of business vs. the patsies...a claim previous Childress-coached teams could not make.





But those who hope in the LORD will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint. Isaiah 40:31 (NIV)
TXAggie2011
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Updated the morning of March 17

A&M made big moves, moving from 39 to 3 in the Warren Nolan RPI with 2 wins against UT Pan American and 3 wins against Auburn, all at home.

Dallas Baptist moved from 15th to 2nd, and gives the Aggies a true marquee win. DBU went 5-0 since the last update, including a win over 122 Baylor and 4 wins over 189 Texas Southern.

TCU is sitting at the top. Dallas Baptist and TCU will play a home and home series before the year is over.

Along with TCU, DBU, and A&M, Rice is 16th and UT-Austin is 19th in this weeks RPI. Oklahoma State is 21st right now...they're the only schools in the region right now that would even threaten to host a regional.

Conceivably, TCU, DBU and A&M could host regionals while Rice, UT-Austin, and OSU would filter in as possible 2 seeds.

Its still way too early for that talk, of course.
Bluecat_Aggie94
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So your saying we are going undefeated for the year?
Farmer1906
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So I was checking out DBU's stadium to see if they could actually host.

Its brand new and fairly nice, but small (2,000).

Look at pick 6.
Very familar look.
W
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the Ags are in great shape RPI-wise. Assuming Arkansas will eventually move into the top 100, A&M only has 5 chances left for a loss outside the top 100. The Ags will reap the rewards of sweeping all of their February opponents
jkag89
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quote:
So I was checking out DBU's stadium to see if they could actually host.
About the same size of some the parks (maybe a tad smaller) that host on the west coast. If a situation occurs like it did like 2011, DBU definitely now has a facility where it can host a Super Regional.
W
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disappointing though that DBU made their new stadium a band box. Just 390 to CF. Which means the LF/RF power alleys are probably 360 or 365
Farmer1906
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disappointing though that DBU made their new stadium a band box. Just 390 to CF. Which means the LF/RF power alleys are probably 360 or 365

Could it be a strategy? Maybe its easier to recruit a few big hitters and some ground ball pitchers to take advantage of their park. It probably helps draw a crowd if you're hitting homers more regularly. Just throwing stuff out there.
TXAggie2011
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Updated March 23, 2015.

Aggie fall 6 spots from 3 to 9, after 2 wins and a loss against Alabama and a win against Prairie View.

SOS stayed the same over the week.

DBU is up to #1 in the RPI. We also saw Houston jump from 135 to 54.
TXAggie2011
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quote:
quote:
disappointing though that DBU made their new stadium a band box. Just 390 to CF. Which means the LF/RF power alleys are probably 360 or 365

Could it be a strategy? Maybe its easier to recruit a few big hitters and some ground ball pitchers to take advantage of their park. It probably helps draw a crowd if you're hitting homers more regularly. Just throwing stuff out there.
IIRC, their outfield sort of backs up to a creek. There is a road with a bit of parking back there between the fence and the creek which they conceivably could have used to instead make a larger outfield,
CapCityAg89
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Thread Title really needs asterisks. Too hard to find.
TXAggie2011
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STAFF!!!! Fix my transgressions/oversight/recklessness?
AGSmith
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At this point, what do you expect our non-conference record to be at the end of the year? What would you consider to be an "acceptable" non-conf record?
TXAggie2011
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Updated March 25, 2015

A&M's RPI improves from 9th to 8th with a win on the road against UTSA.

Dallas Baptist sits at 1, TCU at 4, Texas A&M at 8, and Oklahoma State at 10 to give the region 4 strong candidates to host at the moment.
TXAggie2011
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quote:
At this point, what do you expect our non-conference record to be at the end of the year? What would you consider to be an "acceptable" non-conf record?
I think at this point anything other than undefeated will be disappointing in the sense that any loss we have will be to a team we're arguably more talented then...

The only "acceptable" loss would be to Rice, who sits at 24th in the RPI right now (March 25). But we play the Owls at home, they're 17-10 right now, and thus, pretty clearly beatable.

A loss certainly won't derail what we're trying to accomplish, so its not unacceptable, per se, but it'll be good for our post-season seeding and we also don't want to give Rice help as they try to climb into the discussion to host a regional.

Our other opponents are:

177 Sam Houston State, who is 13-14. We have a home and home series remaining.
167 Abilene Christian, who is 6-17. We play them at home.
85 UT-Arlington, who is 12-11. We play them at home.
148 Texas State, who is 10-13. We play them at home.

We are 20-0 in non-conference so far. At worst, I'd hope we go 25-1 with that one loss to Rice. 26-0 really has to be the goal right now, however.

UT-Arlington is a good team, who has already beat 28 UC-Santa Barbara and 36 UT-Austin (in a midweek game). Worst case is we lose to them and we go 24-2, but it'd be disappointing.
Farmer1906
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Did you pay attention to last Tuesday? Bad teams beat good teams midweek. I won't be shocked if we win out or drop 2.
W
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a couple of interesting things to watch...

1. how long with DBU stay in the RPI top 5?

The Patriots have played 14 road games and won 11 of them. That's really helping their RPI. If DBU picks off wins vs. TCU and OSU later in the season, the Patriots may be a mainstay near the top.

2. when is the Ags' SoS going to drop below 100 (or even 75)?

Right now on Warren Nolan, A&M's SoS really sticks out compared to the other teams in the RPI top 25 (besides LSU's). It will drop as SEC play continues
TXAggie2011
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quote:
Did you pay attention to last Tuesday? Bad teams beat good teams midweek. I won't be shocked if we win out or drop 2.
Yeah, it happens.

Shoot, two days ago, Ole Miss got beat twice in one day by UAB.

It doesn't mean it wasn't disappointing for them or won't be disappointing for us, especially if we lose to one of those three teams that currently have sub .500 records.

I'd just hate to see us lose to a bad team, our RPI drop from, say, 7 to 10 and see us get passed over for a top 8 national seed.

W's post hits the nail on the head- we didn't play a particularly difficult non-conference schedule. A lot can and will be decided by SEC play, and we'll have plenty of opportunities to earn a chance to host a super regional, but we have less wiggle room in non-conference than some others.
TXAggie2011
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quote:
a couple of interesting things to watch...

1. how long with DBU stay in the RPI top 5?

The Patriots have played 14 road games and won 11 of them. That's really helping their RPI. If DBU picks off wins vs. TCU and OSU later in the season, the Patriots may be a mainstay near the top.

2. when is the Ags' SoS going to drop below 100 (or even 75)?

Right now on Warren Nolan, A&M's SoS really sticks out compared to the other teams in the RPI top 25 (besides LSU's). It will drop as SEC play continues
1) I think they can sustain it, but they've certainly got to play clean baseball and avoid the bad losses. They're schedule is actually no cakewalk, with 7 remaining games against Top 10 RPIs as well as 3 more against 26 Missouri State.

What I find really interesting is DBU had a 3 games series with Massachusetts-Lowell cancelled.

UMass-Lowell is now 4-10 with an RPI of 255.

Did DBU benefit from that series being canceled?


2) A&M's SoS pretty miraculously held at exactly 140 for over a week. Its now at 141. 3 games at home against 18-7 Missouri will be helpful.

Right now, according to Boyd's, our opponent's win% is 46%. will raise that to 52%, give or take. So, that's not insubstantial. I didn't recalculate our opponent's opponent's, but Missouri's isn't great.

Missouri's RPI sits at 88, they just poo-pooed a midweek game against 170 Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

Probably around the game with Rice will our SoS start to look pretty good. The three games at Kentucky will really help.
The Debt
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Its Saturday morning after Mizz

RPI (SoS):
1 DBU (28)
2 Miami (4)
3 TCU (23)
4 TAMU (124)


One game against MIzz moves us up 15 in SOS.
TXAggie2011
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A&M is 4, Sam Houston State is 164 headed into tonight's match-up.

Full update coming later this evening.
W
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I just noticed that there are 5 Florida teams in the RPI top 20: UF, Miami, FSU, FAU, and UCF.

and sure enough they are all playing one another multiple times in the midweek. Nice gaming of the RPI
The Debt
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quote:
I just noticed that there are 5 Florida teams in the RPI top 20: UF, Miami, FSU, FAU, and UCF.

and sure enough they are all playing one another multiple times in the midweek. Nice gaming of the RPI


Any different than us playing dbu, rice, uh? Schedule good nearby teams....profit.
MorgansPoint
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MorgansPoint
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Mr.Ackar07
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quote:
UPDATED March 25, 2015

Warren Nolan
Texas A&M's RPI is 8th
(Strength of Schedule: 140)

1-0 against Top 25

What a difference a week makes. After 3 games against Mizzou and one against SHSU, the Ag's SOS is now 73rd, and Nebraska, Alabama, and Auburn have joined Dallas Baptist in the Top 25 rankings.
The Debt
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Thursday Morning:

RPI:
1 DBU
2 FSU
3 TAMU
4 Miami
5 UCLA


NPI:
1 DBU
2 TAMU
3 UCLA
4 FAU
5 Illinois


SoS:
81 TAMU
CapCityAg89
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And now we get RPI 25 for three. I don't think SOS will be a challenge for any of the top (or even middle of the pack) SEC teams. This is the bump the ACC and Big12 get in basketball.
TXAggie2011
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Updated April 2, 2015 going into the series with Kentucky.

Auburn has ascended into the top 25, and the Aggies are now an incredibly impressive 7-1 against top 25 teams.

1: Dallas Baptist
2: Florida State
3: Texas A&M
4: Miami (FL)
5: UCLA
6: Florida Atlantic
7: TCU
8: Vanderbilt
9: Florida
10: Arizona State
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