A few friends and I are trying to grow our sports betting hobby into an analytical spreadsheet for this season.
In a class at A&M (I can't even remember which) a prof built a sheet with us that valued the Vegas spread, avg points for, avg points against, predicted weather, grass or turf, indoors or out, national television or not, returning starters, W/L record against the spread, etc for predicting college football scores. In our first outcome, the sheet predicted A&M losing its upcoming game. The prof shrugged and admitted that the sheets had to be improved over time by adding more data as the season progressed. As it turns out, A&M did lose the next game in a shocker. I can't find my notes for the class, and am desperately searching the internet for any help in building a similar spreadsheet. I understand that predicting correctly 60% of the time against the spread only yields a small profit after Vegas's -110 format, but it's a hobby we'd like to pursue. Could anyone offer any insight at all for us? I used to be somewhat competent with Excel, but now only plug and chug numbers for calculating engine emissions at my day job. Any insight is greatly appreciated.
In a class at A&M (I can't even remember which) a prof built a sheet with us that valued the Vegas spread, avg points for, avg points against, predicted weather, grass or turf, indoors or out, national television or not, returning starters, W/L record against the spread, etc for predicting college football scores. In our first outcome, the sheet predicted A&M losing its upcoming game. The prof shrugged and admitted that the sheets had to be improved over time by adding more data as the season progressed. As it turns out, A&M did lose the next game in a shocker. I can't find my notes for the class, and am desperately searching the internet for any help in building a similar spreadsheet. I understand that predicting correctly 60% of the time against the spread only yields a small profit after Vegas's -110 format, but it's a hobby we'd like to pursue. Could anyone offer any insight at all for us? I used to be somewhat competent with Excel, but now only plug and chug numbers for calculating engine emissions at my day job. Any insight is greatly appreciated.